Showing posts with label Reason. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reason. Show all posts

Friday, 13 July 2018

Andrew Bolt's Blog,13/7/18; Bolt's explanation of why and how reasoning particularly scientific doesn't work; Liar's Poker;



"Just because a proposition leads to some unfavorable result does not mean that it is false. Similarly, just because a proposition has good consequences does not all of a sudden make it true."
28m
 Bolt claims reason alone doesn't work when people have a tin ear. It seems he's talking about himself here. He for one doesn't apply reason here instead, in some way, throwing it to Dr Bjorn Lomborg seems enough. However, Lomborg has vanished and Bolt doesn't say where he is or the lucky patrons that have picked him up

One thing for sure is facts and logic don't count for Andrew Bolt. Bolt has admitted that collecting facts verifying them and interpreting and analysing the data from them is not his cup of tea. It's why he became an obituary writer and then moved on to being an opinion columnist.
Bolt more often than not, however, collects facts that suit his predetermined conclusions. Yes, it's the work of a lazy cop who wants to set someone up. He goes any place anytime and simplistically bundles together unconnected data to make a point that his alleged victim is guilty. His use of statistics is much the same if it exaggerates his point he'll use if it doesn't he'll dump them. The good example his attempt at trying to convince us his Bolt Report ratings are fantastic really high "off a small base" which could mean 100% if his family watches his show and is his undefined small base. He does the same in reverse when he says black African immigrants have the highest rate of crime in Melbourne, of course, they do when it's off a small base.
Bolt loves ridicule, deflection, distortion, anything to avoid criticism and even turns to meaningless moot points that leave reality unexplained avoided untouched and unchanged. His best moot and ridiculous point was when he claimed:"I'm more Indigenous than any Aborigine or Torres Strait Islander that's younger than me". That's the quality of Bolt's reasoning better to avoid reality merely try to redefine the language of debate and he expected everyone to believe and understand him. Science is just a Religion to Bolt and no better than any other opinion which is another escapist idiocy of Bolt's.
 "Reason won't work Bolt claims in his editorial " Well it seems to me quite the opposite is true. Scientific reasoning has brought us a very long way over the past two centuries accelerating our understanding of the world around us faster as time has passed. The truth is, however, Andrew Bolt hasn't moved with it.
"Professor Lomborg" and his "World Famous Copenhagen Consensus Center" Where is it? Denmark denies any association with it. It was once sponsored by the Koch Bros and used him for promoting their anti-warming interests but after a year he was dropped. Lomborg isn't a scientist. His professorship was an honorary title only and all Australian Universities in the worlds top 100 came to realise it. He wasn't qualified to be a tutor. He was going to be Abbott's tool with a $4 mill bribe to any tertiary institution buy Lomborg respectability not for the studying of global climate but for the denial of the science of global climate warming only. But Lomborg and Abbott were busted because he was neither a teaching academic nor a real researcher in that field.
Where is Bolt's world-famous professor and his CCC today I bet you Bolt doesn't say and as yet haven't listened to his full editorial? Like the Ramsay WCIV Center Bolt says it's "study" of WCIV but when examined it's not and neither was Lomborg's CCC. a study of Global Climate. Stupidly Abbott spilled the beans in Quadrant when he said they were truth centres that really needed a University to market their predetermined narratives as the truth. PR centres disguised as centres of academic integrity. 
Busted Bolt's rhetoric flips and all the top universities around the world are declared blind and ignorant for not recognizing Lomborg's and the Ramsay Center's genius. They don't deserve their wisdom.
 Yes Andrew Bolt uses every trick in the book except scientific data, peer-reviewed research and the applied reasoning of 97% of global climate scientists who are in agreement that the rate of global warming is accelerating as has never been witnessed before and largely due to the increased greenhouse gasses produced by man and our use of fossil fuels. All Bolt offers in reply is rhetoric the waving of hands, performed laughter, Lomborg and calling science's deductive and inductive logic a religion.
 Now if that's Bolt logic and reasoning thank Australian Universities for their wisdom and their history of real progressive thought in our understanding of the physical world in which we live and the assistance to decisions we need to make in order to save more than just 12 boys lives. No such reasoning is applied when politicians incarcerating children as do Conservatives for simply trying to escape the mayhem in their countries of origin. 
 Finally for the whereabouts of Bolt's "World Famous Lomborg and his CCC"
"Denmark withdrew its funding, and the Center faced imminent closure.[11] Lomborg left the country and reconstituted the Center as a US non-profit organization, based in Lowell, Massachusetts.[12][13] In fact, the address is a post box, and at this time, the actual location of its operations remains unverified."
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https://screenshotscdn.firefoxusercontent.com/images/480b133b-1ac6-4f43-ba84-3b7437a51eea.png

  No Trump, Germany doesn't Get 70% of its Energy From Putin; it gets 41% from Renewables

 Trump just made the claim that Germany gets 70% of its energy from Russia (via imports of natural gas). It is being pointed out that this assertion, like most things that come out of Trump’s mouth, is completely untrue.

 

https://www.facebook.com/PlasticPollution/videos/10155236742451479/?t=23

Monday, 9 July 2018

Andrew Bolt's Blog,9/7/18/; Bolt in Knickerbockers; Deflecting blame Stolen Children and Men; Critical thinking is not biased thinking;




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4m
 PAYWALL
Here we have Andrew Bolt above doing his real job. Pity he never actually made it and got an education at the University of Adelaide. Bolt, however, is adept at headlines and banners which were historically used by paper boys to attract. They never really got the opportunity to read or understand the content. Bolt shows he still remains confused between what constitutes Studies and what is really disguised Propaganda and promotion. Uncritical reporting is what drives Bolt's approach and what separates him from the women at the ABC among others and he's right when he suggests he's fashionless as well, a euphemism for "behind the times".



WIND DIES, SOUTH AUSTRALIA PAYS

Wow. South Australia sure pays for its reliance on wind. Wind dies, power prices today soar to $1200 per megawatt hour, when  the national average was around $40 before the green madness really hit.
33m6 Link

Bolt is such an idiot. His heartbeat goes up and down to does he panic? The wind dies it doesn't mean the average wind power comes to a standstill coupled with electric storage it doesn't mean electricity will stop in Australia.
Corporations haven't fled the state or have been sold off at bargain rates. In fact, the opposite is the case. Some Oil States and Funds worth 3 Trillion dollars have signed up to going Green and meeting targets while Andrew Bolt is running about making his Chicken Little calls that the world as we know it is coming to an end. The man couldn't be further from the truth even when the State is a Liberal one why? Bolt's political alliance has a very narrow corridor of allegiances which is Ultra-Conservatives in Politics, News Corp and the IPA and today the IPA and News Corp are the most significant.

 These rats at the IPA do not want a well-informed populace, as critical thinkers move away from conservatism in droves. Universities are meant to be halls of science and learning. IPA is fearful of this though, as their anti-science, climate-denying agenda upsets their fossil fuel donors.

  Even Oil Gulf Sovereign Wealth Funds Sign Macron’s Green Investment Pledge

"Six sovereign wealth funds including four Gulf states have pledged to boost efforts to fight climate change at a Paris meeting called by Emmanuel Macron, the French presidential office announced Friday.
The state funds of Kuwait, Norway, New Zealand, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates — global finance heavyweights mainly fuelled by domestic oil and gas revenue — promised to encourage the companies they invest in to tackle the rising threat of a warming planet.
The heads of the funds, which together are worth more than $3 trillion, signed a charter to be unveiled Friday evening at the Elysee palace."
I guess they don't subscribe to Andrew Bolt 's Paywalls.
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18m
Witnessing continued Colonial Culture bashing by Andrew Bolt
Behind the times is what Bolt is noted for. Child molestation won't have been found in the records of the Catholic Church nor the Boy Scouts. Molestation was never government policy or should we say even policy wise forgiven on record. In as much as that is fact are we to therefore to take Bolt as an expert in the defence of history and institutional innocence? The challenge to name 10 stolen children is the equivalent of children he calls liars for having outed priests for their sexual molestation and having them found guilty. You see Bolt doesn't believe in justice proved from the bottom of the power hierarchy up only down. Even when the accusations come from Christians who practice their faith far more than he does. Such as Indigenous Australians.
24m1
 Witnessing zero Cultural shift by Andrew Bolt.
Men aren't animals they are men and men bash rape and violate women in peace and war why? Not because they are animals or because they are victims but because Historically and Culturally they have been allowed to and have simply got away with it, how? They have done what Bolt is doing here and now crying victim and being falsely accused which really another way of ducking "shame". 

5m
 How biased is Bolt when the whole edifice of critical reporting and journalism is brought to the ground for bias by an idiot called Andrew Bolt who claims he is the crusader of debate and free speech. Particularly when Bolt insists he's right when all he has to say is "Statistically low"? Seriously?" When it comes to injecting rooms global evidence shows injecting rooms save lives. Not lives of addicts who still hide the addictions like Bolt's peers if he had an addiction like doctors, nurses, paramedics or wealthy bankers. Yes, injecting rooms don't attract all addicts but that's far from the point being made nor are they a waste of time as Bolt likes to make out.
If we examine statistical bias well it becomes clear when Andrew Bolt claims he has great ratings for the Bolt Report because they are off a small base. He also has a family of 5 and he has faced the courts three or four times and has had innumerable complaints. So the Bolt's are serial pests all of them are 1000 times more likely to find themselves as offenders despite the fact there is only one repeat offender in that family. That's also statistics off a small base and Bolt would be first to complain if his logic was applied to his children's future. Yet it's logic he's prepared to apply to the Sudanese. If the ABC question Bolt's racist logic it's accused of bias when in fact it's clarifying an issue that highly misrepresented.


1h





16
Imagine the problem faced if Abbott, Dutton were leaders.

1h
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Trump hates his picks after he's made them. Count the number of his appointees he's sacked after he's appointed them. Which seems to make the students reasonably accurate given their experience of Trump.

BONGIORNO USES RACE SLUR TO SLIME SKY

 2h17 LINK


"How long before Bongiorno apologises?" Bolt 
When Bongiorno makes what everyone thinks is a "descriptive" comment he suckers the right to show themselves and Andrew Bolt is the first and leader of the Sky pack to defend "Uncle Tom" Warren Mundine stuck up his hand Bongiorno mentioned no names and Bolt joined Mundine. Did they suggest changing the format of Sky News no not at all? Critical analysis is just not their style revealing and analysing both sides of a debate simply doesn't earn money.
2h
15
It seems 
Andrew Bolt has a doppelganger in the Philipines and he's criticizing that twin of his. A twin-like Bolt will say anything rarely right and if proven wrong will not be seen apologising and that's Bolt to a tee. Factless when it comes to most things right he crows wrong he moves on in silence.

Tuesday, 26 September 2017

Andrew Bolt's Blog,26/9/17 Polling where it counts 72:26; Bolt's dumber than we thought; Bolt's Bullies Rage; Bolt proving a threat to reason; Fossil Fuel Failure ; Bolt hate for Peter Fitzsimons is really Personal; Watch Bolt and McCrann lie about BHP;










Poll finds that, among those who have already voted, 72% voted yes compared with 26% who voted no  

Marriage equality support rebounds and yes side leads in voting – Guardian Essential poll | Australia news | The Guardian 

 

 Abbott even manages to divide his family

 
The push to legalize same-sex marriage has officially received the support of Frances Abbott, the daughter of Tony Abbott.

 SSM: Frances Abbott backs same-sex marriage Yes campaign - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

 

 The Cognitive Ability of "no" Voters proved


Specifically, there is a strong and statistically significant association between higher cognitive ability and a greater likelihood to support equal rights between same- and different-sex couples.This may shed some light on why those who stand against equal rights may not be persuaded by evidence-based arguments in the ongoing same-sex marriage debate.

This shouldn't be a surprise throughout history it's been proven and Bolt has always complained about our universities, the ABC,  our Art's and sciences being filled with people arguing for equality, social justice, human rights and social policies that progress towards those ideals. It must be reminded that Andrew Bolt failed University and his mate Tony Abbott gained his Rhodes scholarship not on any grounds of economic standards but largely for sport and the aggressive support of the Jesuits of St Ignatius College.

  SSM: How cognitive ability shapes attitudes on equal rights for same-sex couples - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

 
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THE NEW THREATS TO REASON

Matt Ridley on the new threats to reason: "The spread of fundamentalist Islam, the growth of Hindu nationalism and Russian autocracy, the intolerance of dissent in Western universities and the puritanical hectoring of social media give grounds for concern that the flowering of freedom in the past several centuries may come under threat."  
 Has anyone noticed that the "No" voters in this debate aren't applying "reason" only emotional arguments trying to scare the bejezuz out of the voting population? Name calling along with confirmation biased evidence is proffered as "reason" where there is none is offered against Marriage Equality, Abbott tells women they are best behind an ironing board that's reason and any argument against that is the unreasoned dissent of 'frightbats' . 97% consensus among global climate science is declared by Bolt to be a religion that's reasoned thinking on the part of Bolt. The cry for 'universal human rights' is unreasoned thinking in comparison to the Nazi chants of white supremacists calling for Jews and Muslims to be rounded up and kicked out of the USA. Bolt supports the rise of the ADF in Germany that wants the monuments to Jews be removed from the country and the wisdom in Mein Kumph be brought back to the education system. Yes Cognitive inability certainly does shape Bolt's thinking

 

Bolt's Bullies Rage


A young Brisbane woman who was flying rainbow flags outside her house in support of same-sex marriage has had her windows smashed in with rocks in a late-night attack police said may be linked to three other incidents nearby.

 Same-sex marriage supporters homes targeted by vandals - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

 





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AMAZING COINCIDENCE: WITNESS TO ALLEGED GAY-BASHING IS COMPLAINANT AGAINST TWO PREACHERS

Amazing coincidence. August: "Samuel Mazur has referred Hobart Cornerstone Church’s David Gee and pastor Campbell Markham to the Anti-Discrimination Commission for comments they have made about gay people." Now: "A Tasmanian transgender teen was [allegedly] physically assaulted...  Her mate Samuel Mazur was ... able to shove the attacker away."
 I guess the above is just convenient SSM yes voters reporting violence against them. As I said Bolt is all over poor Tony the victim but totally skeptical when yes voters get a media mention. He doesn't mention the reality of Kevin Rudd's Godson.

 

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LEYONHJELM: 'GUILTY THAT I DIDN'T KICK UP MORE' AGAINST GAY-MARRIAGE ATTACK ON FREE SPEECH

The Turnbull Government's disgraceful "emergency" laws to police free speech during the gay-marriage campaign were resisted by just Pauline Hanson's One Nation and Australian Conservative Cory Bernardi. Now Senator David Leyonhjelm admits he took his eye off the ball: "I actually feel a bit guilty that I didn’t kick up more of a fuss about that."
  Wow, 3 people plus Andrew Bolt does that have any impact? It seems not given that the polling 72 to 26% of the vote so far shows a massive rebound in favor of the "yes " vote.





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LABOR'S PLAN: $30B A YEAR TO PRETEND TO 'STOP" GLOBAL WARMING

We've seen little global warming and we're too small to make a difference anyway. But Labor's plan to slash emissions has a huge cost: "Professor McKibbin, of the ANU’s Crawford School, analysed the impact... The Coalition target in theory would sacrifice $18 billion in economic output [in 2030] compared with a cost of $30bn for the Labor target."
PAYWALL
The "me" mentality is staring us in the face with Bolt telling us "we"  can't make a difference and therefore "we" aren't part of any global community stuff them. In a crisis, an island as small as Cuba sends doctors, engineers, and teams in their hundred to help nations suffering without a second thought. What do we do sweet FA! How would you like to be Bolt's next door neighbor? Nevertheless, if Cuba sneezes Bolt there telling just how dangerous they are and what global impact they have and it's necessary that we all pull together and maintain the 50 trade embargo on them. He goes apeshit telling us we need to send troops to the Middle East and the Ukraine and show that we are a concerned global player. Suddenly Bolt's "me" becomes a "we.  Thinking needs to be contained global pollution doesn't.The man is an intellectual museum piece.
Bolt's fossil fuel heaven has come to a standstill in the face of hurricanes Bolt claims are "normal".  Developed states Texas, Florida, and territories like Puerto Rico are facing billions of dollars of costs which makes fossil fuels look extremely expensive power source when you consider they are useless and will take up to six months to power up again. Currently, the only power being generated is via renewables. There is a lesson to be learned here


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TERRY McCRANN: BHP CAVES TO GREENS WHO WILL KILL IT, TOO


 They say those that can't-do pretend they can teach? How is it McCrann isn't sitting on the board of any Corporate entity and as such why is it Bolt thinks he's the voice of reason over and above CEOs of Corporations like BHP and AGL. BHP hasn't just turned overnight. The supported Gillard's Super Tax and even her Carbon Tax so why print this BS when this support dates back as far as pre-2013. The only people here that are ignorant is McCrann and Bolt or is it they are conveniently ignoring the fact that this was in step with Labor policies."BHP seemingly believes that if it joins the Global Warming campaign against energy sanity at home, it will be left free to keep pumping more and more iron ore and coking coal and oil and gas — and so hundreds of millions of tonnes of explicit and implicit CO2 emissions — into the northern hemisphere..."McCrann
There is nothing secret about BHP's support of an ETS what's secret is BOLT and McCrann can't accept the rational economic thinking of the Big Australian. Going back to 2010

BHP boss Marius Kloppers: It's time for carbon tax - The Australian

www.theaustralian.com.au/.../bhp...carbon-tax/.../f879fbaf09bef0281d40cee66e7daec...
Sep 16, 2010 -

"Mr. Kloppers's call for a carbon tax undermines the passionate objections of Tony Abbott to setting a price on carbon before there is a global consensus.
"We do believe that such a global initiative will eventually come and, when it does, Australia will need to have acted ahead of it to maintain its competitiveness," Mr. Kloppers told a packed Australian British Chamber of Commerce lunch in Sydney." 2010

GREEN MADNESS LEAVES US SHORT OF GAS

Green scares and gutless politicians have created this gas crisis. My editorial from The Bolt Report.
Bolt and McCrann were trying to make out it was incompetent CEO's AGL BHP in some sort of tryst with politicians. just about everybody on the block is to blame. Abbott was the one to refuse any partisan deal on energy as far back as the Gillard government when even the heads of the biggest mining companies were calling for a carbon tax. They knew was little more than a "gutless" politician serving his own interests without any focus on the country and its place in a commercial world. Abbott favored uncertainty why because uncertainty is a political tool. He got his leadership position because of the ETS and he hopes to do the same now. Truth be known he's happy to see Australia languish.

BHP DISGRACES ITSELF BY CAVING IN TO THE GREENS

The Herald Sun's Terry McCrann has a message for BHP Billiton boss Ken MacKenzie: why on earth are you demonising coal by endorsing a clean energy target and dumping the pro-coal Brendan Pearson as head of the Minerals Council.  From The Bolt Report.  
26 McCrann and Bolt are lying to the public BHP haven't caved into the Greens at all as far back as Gillard BHP have been arguing for a Carbon Tax as far back as 2010 they have been pro Gillard policy of either an ETS or Carbon Tax. as far back as then, they thought Abbott to be an opportunistic wanker nothing more. They wanted what AGL wants now a tax on coal.
 

BHP boss Marius Kloppers: It's time for carbon tax - The Australian

www.theaustralian.com.au/.../bhp...carbon-tax/.../f879fbaf09bef0281d40cee66e7daec...
Sep 16, 2010 -

"Mr Kloppers's call for a carbon tax undermines the passionate objections of Tony Abbott to setting a price on carbon before there is a global consensus.
"We do believe that such a global initiative will eventually come and, when it does, Australia will need to have acted ahead of it to maintain its competitiveness," Mr. Kloppers told a packed Australian British Chamber of Commerce lunch in Sydney." 2010
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SOMETHING SMELLS ABOUT LISA'S AGED GARLIC


 
I would definitely go for aged garlic cures and Wilkinson advertising them instead of Andrew Bolt's ads for The Spectator and other extreme Right-wing Pulp Fiction that has absolutely no health benefits whatsoever to offer. Is this all Bolt has to whinge about the wife of Peter Fitzsimons? What a small-minded weed is Andrew Bolt just how was he raised and by who. As the saying goes someone created this ugly man this Dorian Grey in the first seven years of his life and left him little hope.

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BASH THE CATHOLIC, IGNORE THE MUSLIM

Strange. A Catholic archbishop says something about gay marriage that a Muslim leader said, too, only worse. But only one is savaged. Why? With Sharri Markson on The Bolt Report.
Division is Bolt's game but not in the case of Marriage Equality but not this time the 'yes' vote won't be turned into an Islamophobic battle. They accept the freedom of religious belief. They also accept the freedom of Christian beliefs but not when it's been politicized as it has by the ACL, the Churches. This isn't a fundamentalist religious battle at all this is a battle to change the secular and legal definition of marriage and that's not the argument Bolt wants he wants it to be a religious one. Don't for one moment believe that Bolt is supporting Muslims and their freedom of religion he's not he's simply trying to deflect it away from the very losing battle that Catholics are facing they are divided just as much because of what their leaders advocate and what Abbott and Kevin Andrews advocate but their gobsmacked by the fact Francis Abbott has headbutted her father and the Catholic church.
Why doesn't Bolt have a go at Ms, Abbott? Is he going to tell us just how misguided she is for supporting Aunty Christine who Bolt has had a go at trying to convince us that she has made a victim of poor lying Tony?